Obi Consolidates Lead Nationwide
Nigeria’s popular presidential candidate Peter Obi of the Labour Party leads in nationwide polling, predicted to win if the elections were held today among 48 percent of decided voters
The Anap Foundation a think tank devoted to good governance has released its latest poll in a space of four months during a live interview on Channels TV on Wednesday.
President and founder Atedo Peterside said that the 2023 presidential candidate of the Labour Party (LP), Peter Obi is ahead of the three other frontline candidates. The poll was conducted by NOI Polls which conducted the 2015 and 2019 pre-presidential elections polls which showed President Muhammad Buhari of APC leading the then President Goodluck Jonathan of PDP in 2015 and also leading his main challenger Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of PDP in 2019.
“The Poll revealed a significant lead by Mr. Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), with Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) both trailing him. Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) emerged as the lone outsider.” Peterside stated.
He said the election has moved past a three-horse race, as said in an earlier poll released in September, to a four-horse race.
Peterside said Obi has 23 percent, Tinubu scored 13, Atiku got 10 and Kwankwaso polled 2 percent in the fresh poll released in December.
“Nobody has gained or lost more than 2, 3 percent. I don’t know whether that is good news or bad news but it is as if nothing has happened fundamentally, no significant shift,” he said.
The poll was conducted across Nigeria’s six geo-political zones. North Central, North East, North West, South East, South South and South west. The respondents to the polling were registered voters with a registered mobile phone. In the north central, Obi scored 24%, the north east 8%, north west 11%, south east 50%, south south 46% and south west 15%.
His closest rival Bola Ahmed Tinubu scored, 9% in the north central zone, 15% in the north east, 15% in the north west, 1% in the south east, 9% in the south south and a high 22% in the south west.
“The Poll shows that almost 8 in 10 registered voters are absolutely certain that they would be voting in the next presidential election. If they stay committed then we could witness a huge turnout in the February Presidential 2023 elections.” Peterside added with those willing to cast their votes in the 36- 60 age group.
He further added that among the respondents the issue most affecting them was insecurity.
“Why voters are more inclined to vote in the forthcoming elections, these include need to tackle insecurity (35%), Economy (26%), Unemployment (10%), Poverty alleviation (7%) and Education (6%).” The polls indicated.
What was significant to note however, was that there are 52% of undecided voters who would ultimately decide which candidate takes the lead to emerge as the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the 2023 presidential elections.
The foundation raised alarm over the high number of undecided voters in the south west zone which stood at an alarming 38% which Peterside said is usually associated with voter intimidation.